SENTINARA

Indonesia

Dengue in Sumatera Utara

Province profile for Sumatera Utara (Sumatera, capital Medan): harmonised OpenDengue records 2007 to 2024, analysed with the same early-warning engine used for countries.

Key facts

  • 2023: 4,578 dengue cases, an incidence of 31.0 per 100,000 people, ranking 24 of 33 provinces by incidence.
  • The highest annual count in the series was 8,889 cases in 2010.
  • Pattern assessment for July 2024 (latest provincial month): Outbreak signal, because the latest month is above the 3rd quartile of the previous five years; the outbreak score is 0.70, well above what is expected for the season; CUSUM detects a sustained rise since April 2024; the last three months are +129.2% above the three months before.
  • Cases usually peak in October.
  • 24 months were flagged as anomalies; the most recent was August 2022.
  • Provinces with a similar seasonal pattern: Kepulauan Riau, Aceh, Sumatera Barat, Riau, Bengkulu.
  • Newer provinces are folded into their parent so the series stays comparable; population is estimated from BPS 2016 shares and World Bank national totals.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.