Dengue in Afghanistan
Country profile for Afghanistan (Eastern Mediterranean): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.
Key facts
- Afghanistan reported 1,930 dengue cases from January to August 2026, +55.6% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
- Deaths reported in 2026 to August: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
- In 2025, the last full year, Afghanistan recorded 6,168 cases, an incidence of 14.1 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.049%.
- SENTINARA early-warning level for August 2026: Watch, because the last three months are +61.9% above the three months before.
- Ensemble forecast: September 2026 about 349 cases (80% range 123 to 986); October 2026 about 1,074 cases (80% range 309 to 3,718); November 2026 about 1,177 cases (80% range 364 to 3,808). Backtest MAPE 70.1%, MASE 0.98.
- Cases usually peak in November (based on 4 complete years).
- The anomaly detectors flagged 10 months; the most recent was November 2025 with 2,357 cases.
- OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Afghanistan since 2022.
- The monthly series is extended back to September 2021 with OpenDengue data, after checking that both sources agree (median ratio 1).
- Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Pakistan, Mauritania, Sudan, Mexico, United States.
Related pages
Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.