Dengue in Mexico
Country profile for Mexico (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.
Key facts
- Mexico reported 52,866 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -45.5% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
- Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 26 (79 in the same period of 2025).
- In 2025, the last full year, Mexico recorded 145,251 cases, an incidence of 110.1 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.058%.
- SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
- Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 7,183 cases (80% range 5,193 to 9,935); November 2026 about 4,906 cases (80% range 3,068 to 7,845); December 2026 about 2,416 cases (80% range 1,388 to 4,204). Backtest MAPE 22.2%, MASE 0.13.
- Cases usually peak in October (based on 12 complete years).
- The anomaly detectors flagged 11 months; the most recent was September 2026 with 5,694 cases.
- OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Mexico since 1971.
- Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Nepal, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Belize, Guatemala.
Related pages
- Dengue in Nepal
- Dengue in Pakistan
- Dengue in Bangladesh
- Dengue in Belize
- Dengue in Guatemala
- Dengue in Ecuador
- Dengue in Peru
- Dengue in El Salvador
- Dengue in Grenada
- Dengue in Trinidad and Tobago
- Dengue in Costa Rica
Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.