Dengue in Guatemala
Country profile for Guatemala (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.
Key facts
- Guatemala reported 25,513 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -35.1% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
- Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (6 in the same period of 2025).
- In 2025, the last full year, Guatemala recorded 48,278 cases, an incidence of 258.3 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.012%.
- SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
- Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 1,872 cases (80% range 1,145 to 3,061); November 2026 about 1,302 cases (80% range 666 to 2,547); December 2026 about 964 cases (80% range 435 to 2,135). Backtest MAPE 37.8%, MASE 0.25.
- Cases usually peak in August (based on 12 complete years).
- The anomaly detectors flagged 18 months; the most recent was October 2024 with 28,499 cases.
- OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Guatemala since 1978.
- Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Costa Rica, Belize, Cambodia, El Salvador, Honduras.
Related pages
- Dengue in Costa Rica
- Dengue in Belize
- Dengue in Cambodia
- Dengue in El Salvador
- Dengue in Honduras
- Dengue in Ecuador
- Dengue in Peru
- Dengue in Grenada
- Dengue in Trinidad and Tobago
Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.