SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Honduras

Country profile for Honduras (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Honduras reported 9,409 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -30.3% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 4 (4 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Honduras recorded 17,368 cases, an incidence of 157.8 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.046%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 757 cases (80% range 505 to 1,134); November 2026 about 737 cases (80% range 376 to 1,444); December 2026 about 721 cases (80% range 315 to 1,644). Backtest MAPE 27.7%, MASE 0.1.
  • Cases usually peak in July (based on 12 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 10 months; the most recent was August 2024 with 37,091 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Honduras since 1978.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: El Salvador, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Maldives, Thailand.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.