Dengue in Nepal
Country profile for Nepal (South-East Asia): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.
Key facts
- Nepal reported 6,192 dengue cases from January to September 2026, +12.7% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
- Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 3 (5 in the same period of 2025).
- In 2025, the last full year, Nepal recorded 8,573 cases, an incidence of 28.9 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.070%.
- SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
- Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 1,965 cases (80% range 1,192 to 3,240); November 2026 about 834 cases (80% range 423 to 1,644); December 2026 about 250 cases (80% range 111 to 564). Backtest MAPE 36.7%, MASE 0.36.
- Cases usually peak in September (based on 9 complete years).
- The anomaly detectors flagged 24 months; the most recent was April 2024 with 463 cases.
- OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Nepal since 1985.
- Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Bangladesh, Mexico, People's Republic of China, Pakistan, Saint Lucia.
Related pages
- Dengue in Bangladesh
- Dengue in Mexico
- Dengue in People's Republic of China
- Dengue in Pakistan
- Dengue in Saint Lucia
- Dengue in Sri Lanka
- Dengue in Maldives
- Dengue in Timor-Leste
- Dengue in Thailand
Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.