SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Antigua and Barbuda

Country profile for Antigua and Barbuda (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Antigua and Barbuda reported 8 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -42.9% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Antigua and Barbuda recorded 15 cases, an incidence of 15.9 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 1 cases (80% range 0 to 4); November 2026 about 1 cases (80% range 0 to 6); December 2026 about 2 cases (80% range 0 to 8). Backtest MAPE 60.5%, MASE 0.1.
  • Cases usually peak in December (based on 10 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 9 months; the most recent was July 2024 with 28 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Antigua and Barbuda since 1960.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Jamaica, Suriname, Puerto Rico, Dominica, Paraguay.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.