SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Dominica

Country profile for Dominica (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Dominica reported 419 dengue cases from January to December 2023, +13866.7% compared with the same period of 2022, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2023 to December: 0 (0 in the same period of 2022).
  • In 2023, the last full year, Dominica recorded 419 cases, an incidence of 636.1 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for December 2023: Watch, because the latest month is above the 3rd quartile of the previous five years; the outbreak score is 0.68, well above what is expected for the season.
  • Ensemble forecast: January 2024 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 5); February 2024 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 6); March 2024 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 4). Backtest MAPE 100%, MASE 1.
  • Cases usually peak in December (based on 6 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 4 months; the most recent was December 2023 with 419 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Dominica since 1962.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Antigua and Barbuda, Jamaica, Suriname, Puerto Rico, United States.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.