SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Bolivia

Country profile for Bolivia (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Bolivia reported 58,628 dengue cases from January to August 2026, +96.3% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to August: 1 (3 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Bolivia recorded 38,028 cases, an incidence of 302.2 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.008%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for August 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: September 2026 about 640 cases (80% range 387 to 1,058); October 2026 about 926 cases (80% range 485 to 1,767); November 2026 about 1,516 cases (80% range 716 to 3,208). Backtest MAPE 34.1%, MASE 0.59.
  • Cases usually peak in March (based on 12 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 11 months; the most recent was August 2023 with 1,407 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Bolivia since 1980.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Timor-Leste, Paraguay, Brazil, Peru, Indonesia.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.