SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in British Virgin Islands

Country profile for British Virgin Islands (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • British Virgin Islands reported 15 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -48.3% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, British Virgin Islands recorded 46 cases, an incidence of 115.8 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 4 cases (80% range 0 to 23); November 2026 about 4 cases (80% range 0 to 25); December 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 5). Backtest MAPE 80.6%, MASE 0.59.
  • Cases usually peak in January (based on 9 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 3 months; the most recent was November 2024 with 52 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for British Virgin Islands since 1960.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Dominican Republic, Nicaragua, Barbados, Martinique, Belize.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.