SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Nicaragua

Country profile for Nicaragua (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Nicaragua reported 0 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -100.0% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Nicaragua recorded 5,702 cases, an incidence of 81.4 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 9); November 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 24); December 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 48). Backtest MAPE 21.2%, MASE 0.11.
  • Cases usually peak in January (based on 12 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 17 months; the most recent was January 2025 with 5,702 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Nicaragua since 1980.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Dominican Republic, Panama, Venezuela, Sri Lanka, Barbados.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.