SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Guadeloupe

Country profile for Guadeloupe (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Guadeloupe reported 383 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -92.0% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Guadeloupe recorded 5,214 cases, an incidence of 1401.6 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 1 cases (80% range 0 to 74); November 2026 about 35 cases (80% range 0 to 940); December 2026 about 62 cases (80% range 2 to 1,425). Backtest MAPE 90.6%, MASE 0.5.
  • Cases usually peak in November (based on 9 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 14 months; the most recent was November 2020 with 3,075 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Guadeloupe since 1980.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Saint Martin, Saint Barthélemy, Dominican Republic, Barbados, Nicaragua.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.