SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Jamaica

Country profile for Jamaica (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Jamaica reported 183 dengue cases from January to August 2026, -43.7% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to August: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Jamaica recorded 602 cases, an incidence of 21.2 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for August 2026: Watch, because the last three months are +32.7% above the three months before.
  • Ensemble forecast: September 2026 about 35 cases (80% range 19 to 66); October 2026 about 42 cases (80% range 20 to 86); November 2026 about 58 cases (80% range 26 to 125). Backtest MAPE 39.2%, MASE 0.05.
  • Cases usually peak in December (based on 12 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 8 months; the most recent was November 2023 with 3,984 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Jamaica since 1960.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Puerto Rico, United States, Antigua and Barbuda, Venezuela, Barbados.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.