SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Saudi Arabia

Country profile for Saudi Arabia (Eastern Mediterranean): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Saudi Arabia reported 8,193 dengue cases from January to August 2024, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2024 to August: 0.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for August 2024: Outbreak signal, because the latest month is above the epidemic threshold of the endemic channel; the outbreak score is 0.57, well above what is expected for the season; there is a 61% probability of crossing the epidemic threshold within three months.
  • Ensemble forecast: September 2024 about 158 cases (80% range 68 to 362); October 2024 about 127 cases (80% range 31 to 510); November 2024 about 169 cases (80% range 26 to 1,059). Backtest MAPE 41.3%, MASE 0.52.
  • Cases usually peak in May (based on 18 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 16 months; the most recent was April 2023 with 1,764 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Saudi Arabia since 1990.
  • The monthly series is extended back to January 2006 with OpenDengue data, after checking that both sources agree (median ratio 1).
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Ecuador, Peru, Singapore, Brazil, Indonesia.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.