SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Venezuela

Country profile for Venezuela (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Venezuela reported 11,722 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -66.3% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 10 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Venezuela recorded 41,500 cases, an incidence of 145.5 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.157%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 1,049 cases (80% range 714 to 1,542); November 2026 about 910 cases (80% range 557 to 1,486); December 2026 about 755 cases (80% range 428 to 1,332). Backtest MAPE 25%, MASE 0.25.
  • Cases usually peak in December (based on 12 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 27 months; the most recent was March 2025 with 3,611 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Venezuela since 1960.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Puerto Rico, Panama, Sri Lanka, Dominican Republic, Colombia.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.