SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Grenada

Country profile for Grenada (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Grenada reported 215 dengue cases from January to September 2026, +53.6% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Grenada recorded 217 cases, an incidence of 185.0 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Watch, because the latest month is above the 3rd quartile of the previous five years; the last three months are +209.5% above the three months before.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 18 cases (80% range 5 to 58); November 2026 about 14 cases (80% range 4 to 45); December 2026 about 20 cases (80% range 6 to 60). Backtest MAPE 78%, MASE 0.61.
  • Cases usually peak in September (based on 10 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 5 months; the most recent was September 2024 with 213 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Grenada since 1969.
  • The monthly series is extended back to January 2010 with OpenDengue data, after checking that both sources agree (median ratio 1).
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Honduras, Guatemala, Saint Lucia, El Salvador, Venezuela.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.