SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Indonesia

Country profile for Indonesia (Western Pacific): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Indonesia reported 88,178 dengue cases from January to August 2026, -32.2% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to August: 240 (550 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Indonesia recorded 170,798 cases, an incidence of 59.8 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.412%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for August 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: September 2026 about 4,057 cases (80% range 3,216 to 5,117); October 2026 about 4,294 cases (80% range 3,192 to 5,777); November 2026 about 5,395 cases (80% range 3,917 to 7,430). Backtest MAPE 14.8%, MASE 0.3.
  • Cases usually peak in January (based on 19 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 16 months; the most recent was July 2024 with 19,265 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Indonesia since 1968.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Australia, Colombia, Peru, Timor-Leste, Aruba.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.