SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Panama

Country profile for Panama (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Panama reported 10,480 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -28.8% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 19 (17 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Panama recorded 19,809 cases, an incidence of 433.3 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.141%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because the last three months are +139.7% above the three months before.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 1,448 cases (80% range 1,012 to 2,071); November 2026 about 1,094 cases (80% range 744 to 1,608); December 2026 about 1,063 cases (80% range 720 to 1,571). Backtest MAPE 25.4%, MASE 0.37.
  • Cases usually peak in November (based on 12 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 20 months; the most recent was August 2024 with 6,687 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Panama since 1980.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Venezuela, Dominican Republic, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Guatemala.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.