SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in US Virgin Islands

Country profile for US Virgin Islands (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • US Virgin Islands reported 0 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -100.0% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, US Virgin Islands recorded 47 cases, an incidence of 45.3 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.000%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 2); November 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 3); December 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 2). Backtest MAPE 154.3%, MASE 0.39.
  • Cases usually peak in January (based on 6 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 6 months; the most recent was February 2025 with 32 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for US Virgin Islands since 1980.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: Saint Kitts and Nevis, Sri Lanka, Nicaragua, Indonesia, Saint Martin.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.