SENTINARA

Global

Dengue in Cuba

Country profile for Cuba (Americas): official dengue surveillance data reported to WHO, analysed by the SENTINARA early-warning engine.

Key facts

  • Cuba reported 1,746 dengue cases from January to September 2026, -73.2% compared with the same period of 2025, according to WHO Global Dengue Surveillance.
  • Deaths reported in 2026 to September: 0 (0 in the same period of 2025).
  • In 2025, the last full year, Cuba recorded 30,692 cases, an incidence of 280.6 per 100,000 people and a case fatality rate of 0.062%.
  • SENTINARA early-warning level for September 2026: Normal, because cases are within the usual range for this time of year.
  • Ensemble forecast: October 2026 about 0 cases (80% range 0 to 70); November 2026 about 101 cases (80% range 0 to 10,600); December 2026 about 63 cases (80% range 0 to 11,313). Backtest MAPE 92.6%, MASE 0.91.
  • Cases usually peak in December (based on 9 complete years).
  • The anomaly detectors flagged 13 months; the most recent was March 2026 with 150 cases.
  • OpenDengue holds complete annual totals for Cuba since 1977.
  • Countries with a similar seasonal pattern: French Guiana, Dominica, Jamaica, Sri Lanka, Antigua and Barbuda.

Related pages

Data updated 2026-10-31. Sources: WHO Global Dengue Surveillance; OpenDengue V1.3 (Clarke et al., 2025), doi:10.6084/m9.figshare.24259573; Dinas Kesehatan Kota Semarang; World Bank Open Data; NASA POWER.